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Geoffrey

Kondogbia

DMCentral African Republic · Olympique Marseille

№ 127189Established €1.8M +0.50

Player dossierLigue 1

GeoffreyKondogbia

DMDefensive MidfieldMidfield

Club
Olympique Marseille
League
Ligue 1
Nationality
Central African Republic
Age
33
Height
188 cm
Foot
Left
Valued
1 Jun 2026

Reading the valuation

The market values Kondogbia at €3M. Model A, which never saw Kondogbia during training, estimates €1.8M: the market value is 65% above that estimate.

That is a factor of ×1.65. Model A's typical held-out miss is ×1.50 either way, so this gap is larger than its usual error.

Without league and club, Model B estimates €602k, further from the market. Model B is usually further off (typical miss ×2.07): league and club explain much of how the market prices players.

A gap describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what the player is worth.

▲ +0.50A €1.8M▲ +1.61B €602k
Pitch length is a log value scale fitted to this player's figures. ● observed · ◇ Model A · dashed ◇ Model B · each arc is a residual, log(observed) − log(estimate).
Apps
40
Minutes
2,927
Goals
0
Assists
0
Started
35/40
Min / app
73
Cards
4Y 0R

Club matches, two years to the valuation date

The Valuation Journey

What moves Model A

Asking the prediction API to explain Model A for Kondogbia…

SHAP describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what causes market value. Model B can be explained only by the live service; Model A also has a published explanation for the research players.

Model A vs Model B against the observed €3M

Checking API
EmergingEstablishedEliteWorld Class€2M€10M€30M€100k€1M€100MMarket €3MModel A €1.8M

Asking the prediction API…

Held-out estimates come from cross-validation, with this player outside the training data: the honest comparison. Served models were refitted on every player, this one included, so they sit closer to the market. Shaded band: Model A's typical miss (×1.50 either way).

Player traitspercentiles vs 1,687 midfielders

Geoffrey Kondogbia's percentiles among midfielders: Goals per 90 10th, Assists per 90 8th, Minutes, two years 56th, Starts 83rd, Minutes, last 365 days 28th, European club minutes 69th10thGoals8thAssists56thMinutes83rdStarts28thRecent69thEurope

Dashed ring: the midfielder median (50th percentile)

Starts

Share of appearances started rather than entered from the bench.

88% this player69% midfielder median83rd percentile

7%peer deciles · median line · this player ●100%

No passing, progression or defensive actions exist in the dataset, so no trait claims to measure them.

Valuation history every Transfermarkt valuation on record

First valuation
€250k
Jul 2011
Peak
€30M
May 2018
Model target
€3M
Jun 2026
Valuations
41
6 club changes
Jun 2026€3MOlympique MarseilleValuation the model is trained to reproduce

Jun 2026: €3M, Olympique Marseille. Dotted lines mark the €2M, €10M and €30M tier boundaries.

Show as a table
DateMarket valueClub
2011-07-22€250kRC Lens
2011-09-03€750kRC Lens
2011-12-24€1.5MRC Lens
2012-06-01€3MRC Lens
2012-08-07€4MSevilla FC
2013-01-11€5MSevilla FC
2013-06-12€10MSevilla FC
2013-08-07€15MSevilla FC
2013-09-13€18MAS Monaco
2014-01-14€16MAS Monaco
2014-08-07€15.5MAS Monaco
2015-01-14€14MAS Monaco
2015-06-06€16MAS Monaco
2015-09-23€24MInter Milan
2016-01-04€24MInter Milan
2016-07-15€24MInter Milan
2016-10-14€20MInter Milan
2017-01-02€19MInter Milan
2017-06-08€18MInter Milan
2018-01-01€25MValencia CF
2018-05-30€30MValencia CF
2018-12-21€25MValencia CF
2019-06-11€30MValencia CF
2019-12-20€28MValencia CF
2020-04-08€22.5MValencia CF
2020-10-08€17.5MValencia CF
2021-01-05€15MAtlético de Madrid
2021-06-10€15MAtlético de Madrid
2021-12-30€15MAtlético de Madrid
2022-06-03€20MAtlético de Madrid
2022-11-07€20MAtlético de Madrid
2023-03-23€18MAtlético de Madrid
2023-06-13€14MAtlético de Madrid
2023-12-18€15MOlympique Marseille
2024-06-03€12MOlympique Marseille
2024-10-07€9MOlympique Marseille
2024-12-10€8MOlympique Marseille
2025-06-03€7MOlympique Marseille
2025-12-15€5MOlympique Marseille
2026-03-27€4MOlympique Marseille
2026-06-01€3MOlympique Marseille

Audit context group-level, not about this player

Audit group
non-UEFA
Population gap, Model A
+0.093 95% CI +0.063 to +0.124
This player, market vs held-out A
+0.499

The group comes from first-listed citizenship and is never a model input. Across the population, non-UEFA players' market values sit about 10% above Model A's held-out estimates, relative to UEFA players in the same leagues. One player's residual says nothing about that pattern (typical miss ×1.50), and none of it is evidence of discrimination: the target may itself be biased. Open the Fairness Audit

In context observed value among comparable players in this build

All players in the Terminal →

Ligue 1423 players · median €5M

Valued above 30% of the 423 Ligue 1 players.

€100k€750k€5M€30M€3MSee them in the Explorer →

Midfielders, all leagues1,687 players · median €2M

Valued above 56% of the 1,687 midfielders.

€20k€200k€2M€20M€3MSee them in the Explorer →

Where Kondogbia appears

Watchlists and the comparison tray are kept in this browser only.

Near this valuation closest observed values: same league, then same position

Counts and ranks of observed Transfermarkt values only; model errors are never ranked here. Full player export: Every player in the modelling population (D-011).