FairValue

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  • EnvironmentOverviewWhat FairValue measures, what it found, where to go next.
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Emmanuel

Kakou

CBCote d'Ivoire · Cercle Brugge

№ 1233680Established €1.7M +0.15

Player dossierPro League

EmmanuelKakou

CBCentre-BackDefender

Club
Cercle Brugge
League
Pro League
Nationality
Cote d'Ivoire
Age
20
Height
–
Foot
Right
Valued
4 Jun 2026

Reading the valuation

The market values Kakou at €2M. Model A, which never saw Kakou during training, estimates €1.7M: the market value is 16% above that estimate.

That is a factor of ×1.16. Model A's typical held-out miss is ×1.50 either way, so this gap is within its usual error.

Without league and club, Model B estimates €3.7M, further from the market. Model B is usually further off (typical miss ×2.07): league and club explain much of how the market prices players.

A gap describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what the player is worth.

▲ +0.15A €1.7M▼ −0.60B €3.7M
Pitch length is a log value scale fitted to this player's figures. ● observed · ◇ Model A · dashed ◇ Model B · each arc is a residual, log(observed) − log(estimate).
Apps
41
Minutes
2,996
Goals
3
Assists
1
Started
33/41
Min / app
73
Cards
5Y 0R

Club matches, two years to the valuation date

The Valuation Journey

What moves Model A

Asking the prediction API to explain Model A for Kakou…

SHAP describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what causes market value. Model B can be explained only by the live service; Model A also has a published explanation for the research players.

Model A vs Model B against the observed €2M

Checking API
EmergingEstablishedEliteWorld Class€2M€10M€30M€100k€1M€100MMarket €2MModel A €1.7M

Asking the prediction API…

Held-out estimates come from cross-validation, with this player outside the training data: the honest comparison. Served models were refitted on every player, this one included, so they sit closer to the market. Shaded band: Model A's typical miss (×1.50 either way).

Player traitspercentiles vs 2,065 defenders

Emmanuel Kakou's percentiles among defenders: Goals per 90 83rd, Assists per 90 44th, Minutes, two years 53rd, Starts 46th, Minutes, last 365 days 52nd, European club minutes 30th83rdGoals44thAssists53rdMinutes46thStarts52ndRecent30thEurope

Dashed ring: the defender median (50th percentile)

Goals per 90

Club goals per 90 minutes played in the two years to the valuation date.

0.09 this player0.03 defender median83rd percentile

0.00peer deciles · median line · this player ●0.41

No passing, progression or defensive actions exist in the dataset, so no trait claims to measure them.

Valuation history every Transfermarkt valuation on record

First valuation
€300k
Oct 2024
Peak
€2M
Jun 2026
Model target
€2M
Jun 2026
Valuations
5
0 club changes
Jun 2026€2MCercle BruggeValuation the model is trained to reproduce

Jun 2026: €2M, Cercle Brugge. Dotted lines mark the €2M, €10M and €30M tier boundaries.

Show as a table
DateMarket valueClub
2024-10-02€300kCercle Brugge
2024-12-11€1.2MCercle Brugge
2025-06-12€1MCercle Brugge
2025-12-10€1.5MCercle Brugge
2026-06-04€2MCercle Brugge

Audit context group-level, not about this player

Audit group
non-UEFA
Population gap, Model A
+0.093 95% CI +0.063 to +0.124
This player, market vs held-out A
+0.149

The group comes from first-listed citizenship and is never a model input. Across the population, non-UEFA players' market values sit about 10% above Model A's held-out estimates, relative to UEFA players in the same leagues. One player's residual says nothing about that pattern (typical miss ×1.50), and none of it is evidence of discrimination: the target may itself be biased. Open the Fairness Audit

In context observed value among comparable players in this build

All players in the Terminal →

Pro League350 players · median €1.8M

Valued above 50% of the 350 Pro League players.

€100k€750k€5M€30M€2MSee them in the Explorer →

Defenders, all leagues2,065 players · median €2M

Valued above 49% of the 2,065 defenders.

€20k€200k€2M€20M€2MSee them in the Explorer →

Where Kakou appears

Watchlists and the comparison tray are kept in this browser only.

Near this valuation closest observed values: same league, then same position

Counts and ranks of observed Transfermarkt values only; model errors are never ranked here. Full player export: Every player in the modelling population (D-011).