Arseniy
Dmitriev
RWRussia · Akron Tolyatti
Player dossierPremier Liga
ArseniyDmitriev
RWRight WingerAttack
- Club
- Akron Tolyatti
- League
- Premier Liga
- Nationality
- Russia
- Age
- 18
- Height
- 172 cm
- Foot
- Left
- Valued
- 26 May 2026
Reading the valuation
The market values Dmitriev at €500k. Model A, which never saw Dmitriev during training, estimates €630k: the market value is 21% below that estimate.
That is a factor of ×1.26. Model A's typical held-out miss is ×1.50 either way, so this gap is within its usual error.
Without league and club, Model B estimates €1.2M, further from the market. Model B is usually further off (typical miss ×2.07): league and club explain much of how the market prices players.
A gap describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what the player is worth.
- Apps
- 20
- Minutes
- 726
- Goals
- 1
- Assists
- 0
- Started
- 8/20
- Min / app
- 36
- Cards
- 0Y 0R
Club matches, two years to the valuation date
The Valuation Journey
What moves Model A
Asking the prediction API to explain Model A for Dmitriev…
SHAP describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what causes market value. Model B can be explained only by the live service; Model A also has a published explanation for the research players.
Model A vs Model B against the observed €500k
Checking APIAsking the prediction API…
Held-out estimates come from cross-validation, with this player outside the training data: the honest comparison. Served models were refitted on every player, this one included, so they sit closer to the market. Shaded band: Model A's typical miss (×1.50 either way).
Player traitspercentiles vs 1,583 attackers
Dashed ring: the attacker median (50th percentile)
European club minutes
Share of minutes played in UEFA club competitions.
0% this player0% attacker median28th percentile
No passing, progression or defensive actions exist in the dataset, so no trait claims to measure them.
Valuation history every Transfermarkt valuation on record
- First valuation
- €200k
- Aug 2024
- Peak
- €500k
- May 2026
- Model target
- €500k
- May 2026
- Valuations
- 6
- 1 club change
May 2026: €500k, Akron Tolyatti. Dotted lines mark the €2M, €10M and €30M tier boundaries.
Show as a table
| Date | Market value | Club |
|---|---|---|
| 2024-08-05 | €200k | Akron-2 Togliatti |
| 2024-12-12 | €200k | Akron-2 Togliatti |
| 2025-06-04 | €200k | Akron-2 Togliatti |
| 2025-09-18 | €400k | Akron Tolyatti |
| 2025-12-16 | €400k | Akron Tolyatti |
| 2026-05-26 | €500k | Akron Tolyatti |
Audit context group-level, not about this player
- Audit group
- UEFA
- Population gap, Model A
- +0.093 95% CI +0.063 to +0.124
- This player, market vs held-out A
- −0.231
The group comes from first-listed citizenship and is never a model input. Across the population, non-UEFA players' market values sit about 10% above Model A's held-out estimates, relative to UEFA players in the same leagues. One player's residual says nothing about that pattern (typical miss ×1.50), and none of it is evidence of discrimination: the target may itself be biased. Open the Fairness Audit
In context observed value among comparable players in this build
All players in the Terminal →Premier Liga412 players · median €1M
Valued above 15% of the 412 Premier Liga players.
See them in the Explorer →Attackers, all leagues1,583 players · median €2.5M
Valued above 15% of the 1,583 attackers.
See them in the Explorer →Where Dmitriev appears
Watchlists and the comparison tray are kept in this browser only.
Near this valuation closest observed values: same league, then same position
- BalboaCFFC Pari Nizhniy Novgorod · Premier Liga€500k
- MasternoyRBSKA Khabarovsk · Premier Liga€500k
- LunaCBBaltika Kaliningrad · Premier Liga€500k
- KuznetsovRWRubin Kazan · Premier Liga€500k
- ZuberLWAtromitos Athens · attackers€500k
- JongCFFC Porto · attackers€500k
- VerbicLWLevadiakos · attackers€500k
- KodroCFReal Zaragoza · attackers€500k
Counts and ranks of observed Transfermarkt values only; model errors are never ranked here. Full player export: Every player in the modelling population (D-011).