FairValue

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  • EnvironmentOverviewWhat FairValue measures, what it found, where to go next.
  • EnvironmentTerminalExplore, compare and track players; market, league and model views.
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Dmytro

Godya

AMUkraine · NK Veres Rivne

№ 1130335Emerging €297k −0.17

Player dossierPremier Liha

DmytroGodya

AMAttacking MidfieldMidfield

Club
NK Veres Rivne
League
Premier Liha
Nationality
Ukraine
Age
21
Height
170 cm
Foot
Left
Valued
2 Jun 2026

Reading the valuation

The market values Godya at €250k. Model A, which never saw Godya during training, estimates €297k: the market value is 16% below that estimate.

That is a factor of ×1.19. Model A's typical held-out miss is ×1.50 either way, so this gap is within its usual error.

Without league and club, Model B estimates €1.2M, further from the market. Model B is usually further off (typical miss ×2.07): league and club explain much of how the market prices players.

A gap describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what the player is worth.

▼ −0.17A €297k▼ −1.54B €1.2M
Pitch length is a log value scale fitted to this player's figures. ● observed · ◇ Model A · dashed ◇ Model B · each arc is a residual, log(observed) − log(estimate).
Apps
45
Minutes
1,441
Goals
0
Assists
4
Started
14/45
Min / app
32
Cards
7Y 0R

Club matches, two years to the valuation date

The Valuation Journey

What moves Model A

Asking the prediction API to explain Model A for Godya…

SHAP describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what causes market value. Model B can be explained only by the live service; Model A also has a published explanation for the research players.

Model A vs Model B against the observed €250k

Checking API
EmergingEstablishedEliteWorld Class€2M€10M€30M€100k€1M€100MMarket €250kModel A €297k

Asking the prediction API…

Held-out estimates come from cross-validation, with this player outside the training data: the honest comparison. Served models were refitted on every player, this one included, so they sit closer to the market. Shaded band: Model A's typical miss (×1.50 either way).

Player traitspercentiles vs 1,687 midfielders

Dmytro Godya's percentiles among midfielders: Goals per 90 10th, Assists per 90 92nd, Minutes, two years 24th, Starts 6th, Minutes, last 365 days 20th, European club minutes 30th10thGoals92ndAssists24thMinutes6thStarts20thRecent30thEurope

Dashed ring: the midfielder median (50th percentile)

Assists per 90

Club assists per 90 minutes in the same window.

0.25 this player0.09 midfielder median92nd percentile

0.00peer deciles · median line · this player ●0.74

No passing, progression or defensive actions exist in the dataset, so no trait claims to measure them.

Valuation history every Transfermarkt valuation on record

First valuation
€50k
Dec 2023
Peak
€250k
Jun 2026
Model target
€250k
Jun 2026
Valuations
7
1 club change
Jun 2026€250kNK Veres RivneValuation the model is trained to reproduce

Jun 2026: €250k, NK Veres Rivne. Dotted lines mark the €2M, €10M and €30M tier boundaries.

Show as a table
DateMarket valueClub
2023-12-11€50kVeres Rivne U19
2024-06-06€100kNK Veres Rivne
2024-12-17€150kNK Veres Rivne
2025-03-21€200kNK Veres Rivne
2025-06-10€200kNK Veres Rivne
2025-12-18€200kNK Veres Rivne
2026-06-02€250kNK Veres Rivne

Audit context group-level, not about this player

Audit group
UEFA
Population gap, Model A
+0.093 95% CI +0.063 to +0.124
This player, market vs held-out A
−0.174

The group comes from first-listed citizenship and is never a model input. Across the population, non-UEFA players' market values sit about 10% above Model A's held-out estimates, relative to UEFA players in the same leagues. One player's residual says nothing about that pattern (typical miss ×1.50), and none of it is evidence of discrimination: the target may itself be biased. Open the Fairness Audit

In context observed value among comparable players in this build

All players in the Terminal →

Premier Liha414 players · median €400k

Valued above 17% of the 414 Premier Liha players.

€50k€200k€1M€5M€250kSee them in the Explorer →

Midfielders, all leagues1,687 players · median €2M

Valued above 5% of the 1,687 midfielders.

€20k€200k€2M€20M€250kSee them in the Explorer →

Where Godya appears

Watchlists and the comparison tray are kept in this browser only.

Near this valuation closest observed values: same league, then same position

Counts and ranks of observed Transfermarkt values only; model errors are never ranked here. Full player export: Every player in the modelling population (D-011).