FairValue

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  • EnvironmentOverviewWhat FairValue measures, what it found, where to go next.
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Portrait of Christantus Uche

Christantus

Uche

CFNigeria · Crystal Palace

№ 1124005Elite €12.2M −0.01

Image: FootyLogos

Player dossierPremier League

ChristantusUche

CFCentre-ForwardAttack

Club
Crystal Palace
League
Premier League
Nationality
Nigeria
Age
23
Height
190 cm
Foot
Both
Valued
3 Jun 2026

Reading the valuation

The market values Uche at €12M. Model A, which never saw Uche during training, estimates €12.2M: the market value is 1% below that estimate.

That is a factor of ×1.01. Model A's typical held-out miss is ×1.50 either way, so this gap is within its usual error.

Without league and club, Model B estimates €2.6M, further from the market. Model B is usually further off (typical miss ×2.07): league and club explain much of how the market prices players.

A gap describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what the player is worth.

▼ −0.01A €12.2M▲ +1.54B €2.6M
Pitch length is a log value scale fitted to this player's figures. ● observed · ◇ Model A · dashed ◇ Model B · each arc is a residual, log(observed) − log(estimate).
Apps
59
Minutes
3,419
Goals
5
Assists
9
Started
37/59
Min / app
58
Cards
9Y 1R

Club matches, two years to the valuation date

The Valuation Journey

What moves Model A

Asking the prediction API to explain Model A for Uche…

SHAP describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what causes market value. Model B can be explained only by the live service; Model A also has a published explanation for the research players.

Model A vs Model B against the observed €12M

Checking API
EmergingEstablishedEliteWorld Class€2M€10M€30M€100k€1M€100MMarket €12MModel A €12.2M

Asking the prediction API…

Held-out estimates come from cross-validation, with this player outside the training data: the honest comparison. Served models were refitted on every player, this one included, so they sit closer to the market. Shaded band: Model A's typical miss (×1.50 either way).

Player traitspercentiles vs 1,583 attackers

Christantus Uche's percentiles among attackers: Goals per 90 19th, Assists per 90 80th, Minutes, two years 73rd, Starts 56th, Minutes, last 365 days 18th, European club minutes 28th19thGoals80thAssists73rdMinutes56thStarts18thRecent28thEurope

Dashed ring: the attacker median (50th percentile)

Assists per 90

Club assists per 90 minutes in the same window.

0.24 this player0.15 attacker median80th percentile

0.00peer deciles · median line · this player ●0.73

No passing, progression or defensive actions exist in the dataset, so no trait claims to measure them.

Valuation history every Transfermarkt valuation on record

First valuation
€50k
Sept 2023
Peak
€15M
Jun 2025
Model target
€12M
Jun 2026
Valuations
10
2 club changes
Jun 2026€12MCrystal PalaceValuation the model is trained to reproduce

Jun 2026: €12M, Crystal Palace. Dotted lines mark the €2M, €10M and €30M tier boundaries.

Show as a table
DateMarket valueClub
2023-09-11€50kAD Ceuta FC
2023-12-20€50kAD Ceuta FC
2024-03-26€300kAD Ceuta FC
2024-06-24€400kAD Ceuta FC
2024-10-11€5MGetafe CF
2024-12-27€5MGetafe CF
2025-03-21€8MGetafe CF
2025-06-09€15MGetafe CF
2025-12-09€15MCrystal Palace
2026-06-03€12MCrystal Palace

Audit context group-level, not about this player

Audit group
non-UEFA
Population gap, Model A
+0.093 95% CI +0.063 to +0.124
This player, market vs held-out A
−0.015

The group comes from first-listed citizenship and is never a model input. Across the population, non-UEFA players' market values sit about 10% above Model A's held-out estimates, relative to UEFA players in the same leagues. One player's residual says nothing about that pattern (typical miss ×1.50), and none of it is evidence of discrimination: the target may itself be biased. Open the Fairness Audit

In context observed value among comparable players in this build

All players in the Terminal →

Premier League555 players · median €18M

Valued above 36% of the 555 Premier League players.

€150k€1M€7.5M€50M€12MSee them in the Explorer →

Attackers, all leagues1,583 players · median €2.5M

Valued above 79% of the 1,583 attackers.

€20k€300k€5M€75M€12MSee them in the Explorer →

Where Uche appears

Watchlists and the comparison tray are kept in this browser only.

Near this valuation closest observed values: same league, then same position

Counts and ranks of observed Transfermarkt values only; model errors are never ranked here. Full player export: Every player in the modelling population (D-011).