Kauã
Elias
CFBrazil · Shakhtar Donetsk
Player dossierPremier Liha
KauãElias
CFCentre-ForwardAttack
- Club
- Shakhtar Donetsk
- League
- Premier Liha
- Nationality
- Brazil
- Age
- 20
- Height
- 181 cm
- Foot
- Right
- Valued
- 2 Jun 2026
Premier LihaReading the valuation
The market values Elias at €15M. Model A, which never saw Elias during training, estimates €11.9M: the market value is 27% above that estimate.
That is a factor of ×1.27. Model A's typical held-out miss is ×1.50 either way, so this gap is within its usual error.
Without league and club, Model B estimates €20.7M, further from the market. Model B is usually further off (typical miss ×2.07): league and club explain much of how the market prices players.
A gap describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what the player is worth.
- Apps
- 36
- Minutes
- 1,796
- Goals
- 10
- Assists
- 5
- Started
- 17/36
- Min / app
- 50
- Cards
- 1Y 0R
Club matches, two years to the valuation date
The Valuation Journey
What moves Model A
Asking the prediction API to explain Model A for Elias…
SHAP describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what causes market value. Model B can be explained only by the live service; Model A also has a published explanation for the research players.
Model A vs Model B against the observed €15M
Checking APIAsking the prediction API…
Held-out estimates come from cross-validation, with this player outside the training data: the honest comparison. Served models were refitted on every player, this one included, so they sit closer to the market. Shaded band: Model A's typical miss (×1.50 either way).
Player traitspercentiles vs 1,583 attackers
Dashed ring: the attacker median (50th percentile)
European club minutes
Share of minutes played in UEFA club competitions.
27% this player0% attacker median92nd percentile
No passing, progression or defensive actions exist in the dataset, so no trait claims to measure them.
Valuation history every Transfermarkt valuation on record
- First valuation
- €700k
- Jul 2023
- Peak
- €15M
- Dec 2025
- Model target
- €15M
- Jun 2026
- Valuations
- 11
- 2 club changes
Jun 2026: €15M, Shakhtar Donetsk. Dotted lines mark the €2M, €10M and €30M tier boundaries.
Show as a table
| Date | Market value | Club |
|---|---|---|
| 2023-07-25 | €700k | Fluminense FC U20 |
| 2023-12-11 | €4M | Fluminense FC U20 |
| 2024-03-28 | €4M | Fluminense Football Club |
| 2024-06-17 | €4M | Fluminense Football Club |
| 2024-09-27 | €8M | Fluminense Football Club |
| 2024-12-09 | €9M | Fluminense Football Club |
| 2025-03-21 | €12M | Shakhtar Donetsk |
| 2025-06-10 | €11M | Shakhtar Donetsk |
| 2025-09-10 | €14M | Shakhtar Donetsk |
| 2025-12-18 | €15M | Shakhtar Donetsk |
| 2026-06-02 | €15M | Shakhtar Donetsk |
Audit context group-level, not about this player
- Audit group
- non-UEFA
- Population gap, Model A
- +0.093 95% CI +0.063 to +0.124
- This player, market vs held-out A
- +0.235
The group comes from first-listed citizenship and is never a model input. Across the population, non-UEFA players' market values sit about 10% above Model A's held-out estimates, relative to UEFA players in the same leagues. One player's residual says nothing about that pattern (typical miss ×1.50), and none of it is evidence of discrimination: the target may itself be biased. Open the Fairness Audit
In context observed value among comparable players in this build
All players in the Terminal →Premier Liha414 players · median €400k
The highest observed value among 414 Premier Liha players.
See them in the Explorer →Attackers, all leagues1,583 players · median €2.5M
Valued above 81% of the 1,583 attackers.
See them in the Explorer →Where Elias appears
Watchlists and the comparison tray are kept in this browser only.
Near this valuation closest observed values: same league, then same position
- MatvienkoCBShakhtar Donetsk · Premier Liha€12M
- GomesCMShakhtar Donetsk · Premier Liha€12M
- PonomarenkoCFDynamo Kyiv · Premier Liha€12M
- IsaqueAMShakhtar Donetsk · Premier Liha€11M
- EmboloCFStade Rennais FC · attackers€15M
- TsygankovRWGirona FC · attackers€15M
- LukébakioRWSL Benfica · attackers€15M
- PinamontiCFUS Sassuolo · attackers€15M
Counts and ranks of observed Transfermarkt values only; model errors are never ranked here. Full player export: Every player in the modelling population (D-011).