Mohammadmehdi
Zare
CBIran · Akhmat Grozny
Player dossierPremier Liga
MohammadmehdiZare
CBCentre-BackDefender
- Club
- Akhmat Grozny
- League
- Premier Liga
- Nationality
- Iran
- Age
- 23
- Height
- 195 cm
- Foot
- Right
- Valued
- 26 May 2026
Premier LigaReading the valuation
The market values Zare at €800k. Model A, which never saw Zare during training, estimates €524k: the market value is 53% above that estimate.
That is a factor of ×1.53. Model A's typical held-out miss is ×1.50 either way, so this gap is larger than its usual error.
Without league and club, Model B estimates €655k, closer to the market here, although it is usually further off (typical miss ×2.07).
A gap describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what the player is worth.
- Apps
- 14
- Minutes
- 1,016
- Goals
- 0
- Assists
- 0
- Started
- 11/14
- Min / app
- 73
- Cards
- 2Y 0R
Club matches, two years to the valuation date
The Valuation Journey
What moves Model A
Asking the prediction API to explain Model A for Zare…
SHAP describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what causes market value. Model B can be explained only by the live service; Model A also has a published explanation for the research players.
Model A vs Model B against the observed €800k
Checking APIAsking the prediction API…
Held-out estimates come from cross-validation, with this player outside the training data: the honest comparison. Served models were refitted on every player, this one included, so they sit closer to the market. Shaded band: Model A's typical miss (×1.50 either way).
Player traitspercentiles vs 2,065 defenders
Dashed ring: the defender median (50th percentile)
Starts
Share of appearances started rather than entered from the bench.
79% this player83% defender median41st percentile
No passing, progression or defensive actions exist in the dataset, so no trait claims to measure them.
Valuation history every Transfermarkt valuation on record
- First valuation
- €10k
- Dec 2023
- Peak
- €900k
- May 2025
- Model target
- €800k
- May 2026
- Valuations
- 7
- 2 club changes
May 2026: €800k, Akhmat Grozny. Dotted lines mark the €2M, €10M and €30M tier boundaries.
Show as a table
| Date | Market value | Club |
|---|---|---|
| 2023-12-07 | €10k | Pars Jonoubi Jam |
| 2024-06-05 | €100k | Pars Jonoubi Jam |
| 2024-10-15 | €300k | Gol Gohar Sirjan FC |
| 2024-12-23 | €600k | Gol Gohar Sirjan FC |
| 2025-05-16 | €900k | Gol Gohar Sirjan FC |
| 2025-12-16 | €900k | Akhmat Grozny |
| 2026-05-26 | €800k | Akhmat Grozny |
Audit context group-level, not about this player
- Audit group
- non-UEFA
- Population gap, Model A
- +0.093 95% CI +0.063 to +0.124
- This player, market vs held-out A
- +0.423
The group comes from first-listed citizenship and is never a model input. Across the population, non-UEFA players' market values sit about 10% above Model A's held-out estimates, relative to UEFA players in the same leagues. One player's residual says nothing about that pattern (typical miss ×1.50), and none of it is evidence of discrimination: the target may itself be biased. Open the Fairness Audit
In context observed value among comparable players in this build
All players in the Terminal →Premier Liga412 players · median €1M
Valued above 33% of the 412 Premier Liga players.
See them in the Explorer →Defenders, all leagues2,065 players · median €2M
Valued above 29% of the 2,065 defenders.
See them in the Explorer →Where Zare appears
Watchlists and the comparison tray are kept in this browser only.
Near this valuation closest observed values: same league, then same position
- LunevGKDynamo Moscow · Premier Liga€800k
- GudievGKAkron Tolyatti · Premier Liga€800k
- SilvaCMAkhmat Grozny · Premier Liga€800k
- BozhinCBKrylya Sovetov Samara · Premier Liga€800k
- CaraccioloCBPisa Sporting Club · defenders€800k
- BianchettiCBUS Cremonese · defenders€800k
- WidmerRB1.FSV Mainz 05 · defenders€800k
- WinckRBKasimpasa · defenders€800k
Counts and ranks of observed Transfermarkt values only; model errors are never ranked here. Full player export: Every player in the modelling population (D-011).