FairValue

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Geoffry

Hairemans

RWBelgium · Royal Antwerp FC

№ 110292Emerging €232k +0.07

Player dossierPro League

GeoffryHairemans

RWRight WingerAttack

Club
Royal Antwerp FC
League
Pro League
Nationality
Belgium
Age
34
Height
183 cm
Foot
Left
Valued
4 Jun 2026

Reading the valuation

The market values Hairemans at €250k. Model A, which never saw Hairemans during training, estimates €232k: the market value is 8% above that estimate.

That is a factor of ×1.08. Model A's typical held-out miss is ×1.50 either way, so this gap is within its usual error.

Without league and club, Model B estimates €263k, closer to the market here, although it is usually further off (typical miss ×2.07).

A gap describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what the player is worth.

▲ +0.07A €232k▼ −0.05B €263k
Pitch length is a log value scale fitted to this player's figures. ● observed · ◇ Model A · dashed ◇ Model B · each arc is a residual, log(observed) − log(estimate).
Apps
27
Minutes
1,291
Goals
2
Assists
2
Started
13/27
Min / app
48
Cards
1Y 0R

Club matches, two years to the valuation date

The Valuation Journey

What moves Model A

Asking the prediction API to explain Model A for Hairemans…

SHAP describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what causes market value. Model B can be explained only by the live service; Model A also has a published explanation for the research players.

Model A vs Model B against the observed €250k

Checking API
EmergingEstablishedEliteWorld Class€2M€10M€30M€100k€1M€100MMarket €250kModel A €232k

Asking the prediction API…

Held-out estimates come from cross-validation, with this player outside the training data: the honest comparison. Served models were refitted on every player, this one included, so they sit closer to the market. Shaded band: Model A's typical miss (×1.50 either way).

Player traitspercentiles vs 1,583 attackers

Geoffry Hairemans's percentiles among attackers: Goals per 90 21st, Assists per 90 47th, Minutes, two years 27th, Starts 32nd, Minutes, last 365 days 3rd, European club minutes 28th21stGoals47thAssists27thMinutes32ndStarts3rdRecent28thEurope

Dashed ring: the attacker median (50th percentile)

Assists per 90

Club assists per 90 minutes in the same window.

0.14 this player0.15 attacker median47th percentile

0.00peer deciles · median line · this player ●0.73

No passing, progression or defensive actions exist in the dataset, so no trait claims to measure them.

Valuation history every Transfermarkt valuation on record

First valuation
€100k
Sept 2009
Peak
€1M
Jun 2018
Model target
€250k
Jun 2026
Valuations
30
6 club changes
Jun 2026€250kRoyal Antwerp FCValuation the model is trained to reproduce

Jun 2026: €250k, Royal Antwerp FC. Dotted lines mark the €2M, €10M and €30M tier boundaries.

Show as a table
DateMarket valueClub
2009-09-21€100kRoyal Antwerp FC
2010-01-21€300kDe Graafschap Doetinchem
2013-01-08€350kLierse SK (-2018)
2014-10-20€175kKSK Heist
2015-10-28€400kRoyal Antwerp FC
2016-02-04€500kRoyal Antwerp FC
2016-08-03€500kRoyal Antwerp FC
2017-01-21€500kRoyal Antwerp FC
2017-06-06€500kRoyal Antwerp FC
2017-10-20€700kRoyal Antwerp FC
2018-01-09€900kRoyal Antwerp FC
2018-06-03€1MRoyal Antwerp FC
2018-12-27€1MRoyal Antwerp FC
2019-06-10€900kRoyal Antwerp FC
2019-12-13€900kKV Mechelen
2020-03-30€1MKV Mechelen
2020-04-08€800kKV Mechelen
2020-10-16€800kKV Mechelen
2021-06-07€1MKV Mechelen
2021-10-06€800kKV Mechelen
2022-01-06€750kKV Mechelen
2022-04-12€750kKV Mechelen
2022-11-04€750kKV Mechelen
2023-06-09€900kKV Mechelen
2023-12-19€700kKV Mechelen
2024-06-04€650kKV Mechelen
2024-12-11€550kKV Mechelen
2025-06-12€500kKV Mechelen
2025-12-10€400kRoyal Antwerp FC
2026-06-04€250kRoyal Antwerp FC

Audit context group-level, not about this player

Audit group
UEFA
Population gap, Model A
+0.093 95% CI +0.063 to +0.124
This player, market vs held-out A
+0.073

The group comes from first-listed citizenship and is never a model input. Across the population, non-UEFA players' market values sit about 10% above Model A's held-out estimates, relative to UEFA players in the same leagues. One player's residual says nothing about that pattern (typical miss ×1.50), and none of it is evidence of discrimination: the target may itself be biased. Open the Fairness Audit

In context observed value among comparable players in this build

All players in the Terminal →

Pro League350 players · median €1.8M

Valued above 1% of the 350 Pro League players.

€100k€750k€5M€30M€250kSee them in the Explorer →

Attackers, all leagues1,583 players · median €2.5M

Valued above 6% of the 1,583 attackers.

€20k€300k€5M€75M€250kSee them in the Explorer →

Where Hairemans appears

Watchlists and the comparison tray are kept in this browser only.

Near this valuation closest observed values: same league, then same position

Counts and ranks of observed Transfermarkt values only; model errors are never ranked here. Full player export: Every player in the modelling population (D-011).