Fer
López
AMSpain · Celta de Vigo
Player dossierLaLiga
FerLópez
AMAttacking MidfieldMidfield
- Club
- Celta de Vigo
- League
- LaLiga
- Nationality
- Spain
- Age
- 22
- Height
- 188 cm
- Foot
- Left
- Valued
- 5 Jun 2026
Reading the valuation
The market values López at €16M. Model A, which never saw López during training, estimates €7.7M: the market value is 107% above that estimate.
That is a factor of ×2.07. Model A's typical held-out miss is ×1.50 either way, so this gap is larger than its usual error.
Without league and club, Model B estimates €8.3M, closer to the market here, although it is usually further off (typical miss ×2.07).
A gap describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what the player is worth.
- Apps
- 52
- Minutes
- 2,466
- Goals
- 4
- Assists
- 2
- Started
- 25/52
- Min / app
- 47
- Cards
- 7Y 0R
Club matches, two years to the valuation date
The Valuation Journey
What moves Model A
Asking the prediction API to explain Model A for López…
SHAP describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what causes market value. Model B can be explained only by the live service; Model A also has a published explanation for the research players.
Model A vs Model B against the observed €16M
Checking APIAsking the prediction API…
Held-out estimates come from cross-validation, with this player outside the training data: the honest comparison. Served models were refitted on every player, this one included, so they sit closer to the market. Shaded band: Model A's typical miss (×1.50 either way).
Player traitspercentiles vs 1,687 midfielders
Dashed ring: the midfielder median (50th percentile)
European club minutes
Share of minutes played in UEFA club competitions.
10% this player0% midfielder median72nd percentile
No passing, progression or defensive actions exist in the dataset, so no trait claims to measure them.
Valuation history every Transfermarkt valuation on record
- First valuation
- €50k
- Sept 2023
- Peak
- €18M
- Oct 2025
- Model target
- €16M
- Jun 2026
- Valuations
- 9
- 3 club changes
Jun 2026: €16M, Celta de Vigo. Dotted lines mark the €2M, €10M and €30M tier boundaries.
Show as a table
| Date | Market value | Club |
|---|---|---|
| 2023-09-11 | €50k | RC Celta Fortuna |
| 2023-12-20 | €200k | RC Celta Fortuna |
| 2024-06-24 | €300k | RC Celta Fortuna |
| 2024-12-18 | €400k | RC Celta Fortuna |
| 2025-03-27 | €1.5M | Celta de Vigo |
| 2025-06-09 | €5M | Celta de Vigo |
| 2025-10-17 | €18M | Wolverhampton Wanderers |
| 2025-12-09 | €16M | Wolverhampton Wanderers |
| 2026-06-05 | €16M | Celta de Vigo |
Audit context group-level, not about this player
- Audit group
- UEFA
- Population gap, Model A
- +0.093 95% CI +0.063 to +0.124
- This player, market vs held-out A
- +0.727
The group comes from first-listed citizenship and is never a model input. Across the population, non-UEFA players' market values sit about 10% above Model A's held-out estimates, relative to UEFA players in the same leagues. One player's residual says nothing about that pattern (typical miss ×1.50), and none of it is evidence of discrimination: the target may itself be biased. Open the Fairness Audit
In context observed value among comparable players in this build
All players in the Terminal →Midfielders, all leagues1,687 players · median €2M
Valued above 86% of the 1,687 midfielders.
See them in the Explorer →Where López appears
- TerminalLaLiga in the Player Explorer
- TerminalLaLiga on the League Landscape
Watchlists and the comparison tray are kept in this browser only.
Near this valuation closest observed values: same league, then same position
- CourtoisGKReal Madrid · LaLiga€15M
- OblakGKAtlético de Madrid · LaLiga€15M
- TsygankovRWGirona FC · LaLiga€15M
- GómezLBReal Sociedad · LaLiga€15M
- ÇalhanoğluDMInter Milan · midfielders€16M
- JaneltDMBrentford FC · midfielders€16M
- FernandesCMSpartak Moscow · midfielders€16M
- FlorentinoDMBurnley FC · midfielders€16M
Counts and ranks of observed Transfermarkt values only; model errors are never ranked here. Full player export: Every player in the modelling population (D-011).