FairValue

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  • EnvironmentOverviewWhat FairValue measures, what it found, where to go next.
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Charalampos

Kostoulas

CFGreece · Brighton & Hove Albion

№ 1060087Elite €27.8M −0.11

Player dossierPremier League

CharalamposKostoulas

CFCentre-ForwardAttack

Club
Brighton & Hove Albion
League
Premier League
Nationality
Greece
Age
19
Height
185 cm
Foot
Right
Valued
3 Jun 2026

Reading the valuation

The market values Kostoulas at €25M. Model A, which never saw Kostoulas during training, estimates €27.8M: the market value is 10% below that estimate.

That is a factor of ×1.11. Model A's typical held-out miss is ×1.50 either way, so this gap is within its usual error.

Without league and club, Model B estimates €32.2M, further from the market. Model B is usually further off (typical miss ×2.07): league and club explain much of how the market prices players.

A gap describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what the player is worth.

▼ −0.11A €27.8M▼ −0.25B €32.2M
Pitch length is a log value scale fitted to this player's figures. ● observed · ◇ Model A · dashed ◇ Model B · each arc is a residual, log(observed) − log(estimate).
Apps
60
Minutes
2,398
Goals
8
Assists
3
Started
24/60
Min / app
40
Cards
6Y 0R

Club matches, two years to the valuation date

The Valuation Journey

What moves Model A

Asking the prediction API to explain Model A for Kostoulas…

SHAP describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what causes market value. Model B can be explained only by the live service; Model A also has a published explanation for the research players.

Model A vs Model B against the observed €25M

Checking API
EmergingEstablishedEliteWorld Class€2M€10M€30M€100k€1M€100MMarket €25MModel A €27.8M

Asking the prediction API…

Held-out estimates come from cross-validation, with this player outside the training data: the honest comparison. Served models were refitted on every player, this one included, so they sit closer to the market. Shaded band: Model A's typical miss (×1.50 either way).

Player traitspercentiles vs 1,583 attackers

Charalampos Kostoulas's percentiles among attackers: Goals per 90 57th, Assists per 90 37th, Minutes, two years 53rd, Starts 21st, Minutes, last 365 days 16th, European club minutes 80th57thGoals37thAssists53rdMinutes21stStarts16thRecent80thEurope

Dashed ring: the attacker median (50th percentile)

European club minutes

Share of minutes played in UEFA club competitions.

17% this player0% attacker median80th percentile

0%peer deciles · median line · this player ●100%

No passing, progression or defensive actions exist in the dataset, so no trait claims to measure them.

Valuation history every Transfermarkt valuation on record

First valuation
€75k
Jun 2023
Peak
€25M
Oct 2025
Model target
€25M
Jun 2026
Valuations
12
3 club changes
Jun 2026€25MBrighton & Hove AlbionValuation the model is trained to reproduce

Jun 2026: €25M, Brighton & Hove Albion. Dotted lines mark the €2M, €10M and €30M tier boundaries.

Show as a table
DateMarket valueClub
2023-06-19€75kOlympiacos Piraeus U19
2023-09-21€100kOlympiacos Piraeus B
2023-12-28€200kOlympiacos Piraeus B
2024-03-13€400kOlympiacos Piraeus B
2024-05-23€500kOlympiacos Piraeus B
2024-09-26€600kOlympiacos Piraeus
2024-12-18€3MOlympiacos Piraeus
2025-03-14€8MOlympiacos Piraeus
2025-05-23€12MOlympiacos Piraeus
2025-10-17€25MBrighton & Hove Albion
2025-12-09€25MBrighton & Hove Albion
2026-06-03€25MBrighton & Hove Albion

Audit context group-level, not about this player

Audit group
UEFA
Population gap, Model A
+0.093 95% CI +0.063 to +0.124
This player, market vs held-out A
−0.107

The group comes from first-listed citizenship and is never a model input. Across the population, non-UEFA players' market values sit about 10% above Model A's held-out estimates, relative to UEFA players in the same leagues. One player's residual says nothing about that pattern (typical miss ×1.50), and none of it is evidence of discrimination: the target may itself be biased. Open the Fairness Audit

In context observed value among comparable players in this build

All players in the Terminal →

Premier League555 players · median €18M

Valued above 63% of the 555 Premier League players.

€150k€1M€7.5M€50M€25MSee them in the Explorer →

Attackers, all leagues1,583 players · median €2.5M

Valued above 90% of the 1,583 attackers.

€20k€300k€5M€75M€25MSee them in the Explorer →

Where Kostoulas appears

Watchlists and the comparison tray are kept in this browser only.

Near this valuation closest observed values: same league, then same position

Counts and ranks of observed Transfermarkt values only; model errors are never ranked here. Full player export: Every player in the modelling population (D-011).