FairValue

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  • EnvironmentOverviewWhat FairValue measures, what it found, where to go next.
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Mamadou

Diakhon

LWSenegal · Club Brugge KV

№ 1054839Established €11M −0.45

Player dossierPro League

MamadouDiakhon

LWLeft WingerAttack

Club
Club Brugge KV
League
Pro League
Nationality
Senegal
Age
20
Height
180 cm
Foot
Right
Valued
4 Jun 2026

Reading the valuation

The market values Diakhon at €7M. Model A, which never saw Diakhon during training, estimates €11M: the market value is 36% below that estimate.

That is a factor of ×1.57. Model A's typical held-out miss is ×1.50 either way, so this gap is larger than its usual error.

Without league and club, Model B estimates €18.1M, further from the market. Model B is usually further off (typical miss ×2.07): league and club explain much of how the market prices players.

A gap describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what the player is worth.

▼ −0.45A €11M▼ −0.95B €18.1M
Pitch length is a log value scale fitted to this player's figures. ● observed · ◇ Model A · dashed ◇ Model B · each arc is a residual, log(observed) − log(estimate).
Apps
62
Minutes
2,025
Goals
4
Assists
10
Started
16/62
Min / app
33
Cards
4Y 0R

Club matches, two years to the valuation date

The Valuation Journey

What moves Model A

Asking the prediction API to explain Model A for Diakhon…

SHAP describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what causes market value. Model B can be explained only by the live service; Model A also has a published explanation for the research players.

Model A vs Model B against the observed €7M

Checking API
EmergingEstablishedEliteWorld Class€2M€10M€30M€100k€1M€100MMarket €7MModel A €11M

Asking the prediction API…

Held-out estimates come from cross-validation, with this player outside the training data: the honest comparison. Served models were refitted on every player, this one included, so they sit closer to the market. Shaded band: Model A's typical miss (×1.50 either way).

Player traitspercentiles vs 1,583 attackers

Mamadou Diakhon's percentiles among attackers: Goals per 90 30th, Assists per 90 99th, Minutes, two years 45th, Starts 7th, Minutes, last 365 days 46th, European club minutes 82nd30thGoals99thAssists45thMinutes7thStarts46thRecent82ndEurope

Dashed ring: the attacker median (50th percentile)

Assists per 90

Club assists per 90 minutes in the same window.

0.44 this player0.15 attacker median99th percentile

0.00peer deciles · median line · this player ●0.73

No passing, progression or defensive actions exist in the dataset, so no trait claims to measure them.

Valuation history every Transfermarkt valuation on record

First valuation
€150k
Sept 2023
Peak
€9M
Mar 2026
Model target
€7M
Jun 2026
Valuations
10
1 club change
Jun 2026€7MClub Brugge KVValuation the model is trained to reproduce

Jun 2026: €7M, Club Brugge KV. Dotted lines mark the €2M, €10M and €30M tier boundaries.

Show as a table
DateMarket valueClub
2023-09-11€150kStade Reims
2023-10-16€250kStade Reims
2023-12-18€700kStade Reims
2024-06-03€700kStade Reims
2024-12-10€1.5MStade Reims
2025-06-03€3MStade Reims
2025-10-01€6MClub Brugge KV
2025-12-10€5MClub Brugge KV
2026-03-13€9MClub Brugge KV
2026-06-04€7MClub Brugge KV

Audit context group-level, not about this player

Audit group
non-UEFA
Population gap, Model A
+0.093 95% CI +0.063 to +0.124
This player, market vs held-out A
−0.452

The group comes from first-listed citizenship and is never a model input. Across the population, non-UEFA players' market values sit about 10% above Model A's held-out estimates, relative to UEFA players in the same leagues. One player's residual says nothing about that pattern (typical miss ×1.50), and none of it is evidence of discrimination: the target may itself be biased. Open the Fairness Audit

In context observed value among comparable players in this build

All players in the Terminal →

Pro League350 players · median €1.8M

Valued above 92% of the 350 Pro League players.

€100k€750k€5M€30M€7MSee them in the Explorer →

Attackers, all leagues1,583 players · median €2.5M

Valued above 70% of the 1,583 attackers.

€20k€300k€5M€75M€7MSee them in the Explorer →

Where Diakhon appears

Watchlists and the comparison tray are kept in this browser only.

Near this valuation closest observed values: same league, then same position

Counts and ranks of observed Transfermarkt values only; model errors are never ranked here. Full player export: Every player in the modelling population (D-011).