Travis
Hernes
CMNorway · FC Groningen
Player dossierEredivisie
TravisHernes
CMCentral MidfieldMidfield
- Club
- FC Groningen
- League
- Eredivisie
- Nationality
- Norway
- Age
- 20
- Height
- 179 cm
- Foot
- Right
- Valued
- 28 May 2026
EredivisieReading the valuation
The market values Hernes at €350k. Model A, which never saw Hernes during training, estimates €698k: the market value is 50% below that estimate.
That is a factor of ×1.99. Model A's typical held-out miss is ×1.50 either way, so this gap is larger than its usual error.
Without league and club, Model B estimates €620k, closer to the market here, although it is usually further off (typical miss ×2.07).
A gap describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what the player is worth.
- Apps
- 15
- Minutes
- 609
- Goals
- 0
- Assists
- 0
- Started
- 6/15
- Min / app
- 41
- Cards
- 1Y 0R
Club matches, two years to the valuation date
The Valuation Journey
What moves Model A
Asking the prediction API to explain Model A for Hernes…
SHAP describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what causes market value. Model B can be explained only by the live service; Model A also has a published explanation for the research players.
Model A vs Model B against the observed €350k
Checking APIAsking the prediction API…
Held-out estimates come from cross-validation, with this player outside the training data: the honest comparison. Served models were refitted on every player, this one included, so they sit closer to the market. Shaded band: Model A's typical miss (×1.50 either way).
Player traitspercentiles vs 1,687 midfielders
Dashed ring: the midfielder median (50th percentile)
European club minutes
Share of minutes played in UEFA club competitions.
0% this player0% midfielder median30th percentile
No passing, progression or defensive actions exist in the dataset, so no trait claims to measure them.
Valuation history every Transfermarkt valuation on record
- First valuation
- €150k
- Mar 2024
- Peak
- €350k
- Jun 2025
- Model target
- €350k
- May 2026
- Valuations
- 5
- 2 club changes
May 2026: €350k, FC Groningen. Dotted lines mark the €2M, €10M and €30M tier boundaries.
Show as a table
| Date | Market value | Club |
|---|---|---|
| 2024-03-14 | €150k | Newcastle United U21 |
| 2024-12-27 | €150k | Newcastle United U21 |
| 2025-06-16 | €350k | Aalborg BK |
| 2025-12-02 | €250k | FC Groningen |
| 2026-05-28 | €350k | FC Groningen |
Audit context group-level, not about this player
- Audit group
- UEFA
- Population gap, Model A
- +0.093 95% CI +0.063 to +0.124
- This player, market vs held-out A
- −0.690
The group comes from first-listed citizenship and is never a model input. Across the population, non-UEFA players' market values sit about 10% above Model A's held-out estimates, relative to UEFA players in the same leagues. One player's residual says nothing about that pattern (typical miss ×1.50), and none of it is evidence of discrimination: the target may itself be biased. Open the Fairness Audit
In context observed value among comparable players in this build
All players in the Terminal →Eredivisie425 players · median €1M
Valued above 14% of the 425 Eredivisie players.
See them in the Explorer →Midfielders, all leagues1,687 players · median €2M
Valued above 10% of the 1,687 midfielders.
See them in the Explorer →Where Hernes appears
Watchlists and the comparison tray are kept in this browser only.
Near this valuation closest observed values: same league, then same position
- SandeCFSC Cambuur Leeuwarden · Eredivisie€350k
- JacobsCBAlmere City FC · Eredivisie€350k
- LucassenRBNAC Breda · Eredivisie€350k
- WieckhoffRBHeracles Almelo · Eredivisie€350k
- KovalevRMBaltika Kaliningrad · midfielders€350k
- StaikosDMAE Larisa · midfielders€350k
- JuanpiAMVolos NFC · midfielders€350k
- LyonsCMKilmarnock FC · midfielders€350k
Counts and ranks of observed Transfermarkt values only; model errors are never ranked here. Full player export: Every player in the modelling population (D-011).