FairValue

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Jannich

Storch

GKDenmark · Randers FC

№ 103981Emerging €228k −2.21

Player dossierSuperliga

JannichStorch

GKGoalkeeperGoalkeeper

Club
Randers FC
League
Superliga
Nationality
Denmark
Age
33
Height
189 cm
Foot
Right
Valued
25 May 2026

Reading the valuation

The market values Storch at €25k. Model A, which never saw Storch during training, estimates €228k: the market value is 89% below that estimate.

That is a factor of ×9.12. Model A's typical held-out miss is ×1.50 either way, so this gap is larger than its usual error.

Without league and club, Model B estimates €472k, further from the market. Model B is usually further off (typical miss ×2.07): league and club explain much of how the market prices players.

A gap describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what the player is worth.

▼ −2.21A €228k▼ −2.94B €472k
Pitch length is a log value scale fitted to this player's figures. ● observed · ◇ Model A · dashed ◇ Model B · each arc is a residual, log(observed) − log(estimate).
Apps
26
Minutes
2,309
Started
26/26
Min / app
89
Cards
2Y 0R

Club matches, two years to the valuation date

The Valuation Journey

What moves Model A

Asking the prediction API to explain Model A for Storch…

SHAP describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what causes market value. Model B can be explained only by the live service; Model A also has a published explanation for the research players.

Model A vs Model B against the observed €25k

Checking API
EmergingEstablishedEliteWorld Class€2M€10M€30M€100k€1M€100MMarket €25kModel A €228k

Asking the prediction API…

Held-out estimates come from cross-validation, with this player outside the training data: the honest comparison. Served models were refitted on every player, this one included, so they sit closer to the market. Shaded band: Model A's typical miss (×1.50 either way).

Player traitspercentiles vs 485 goalkeepers

Jannich Storch's percentiles among goalkeepers: Minutes, two years 42nd, Starts 62nd, Minutes, last 365 days 28th, European club minutes 32nd42ndMinutes62ndStarts28thRecent32ndEurope

Dashed ring: the goalkeeper median (50th percentile)

Starts

Share of appearances started rather than entered from the bench.

100% this player100% goalkeeper median62nd percentile

70%peer deciles · median line · this player ●100%

No passing, progression or defensive actions exist in the dataset, so no trait claims to measure them.

Valuation history every Transfermarkt valuation on record

First valuation
€50k
Mar 2012
Peak
€150k
Jun 2014
Model target
€25k
May 2026
Valuations
28
6 club changes
May 2026€25kRanders FCValuation the model is trained to reproduce

May 2026: €25k, Randers FC. Dotted lines mark the €2M, €10M and €30M tier boundaries.

Show as a table
DateMarket valueClub
2012-03-28€50kFC Nordsjaelland U19
2012-07-18€50kFC Nordsjaelland U19
2013-06-18€50kFC Nordsjaelland
2014-06-27€150kAkademisk Boldklub
2014-12-19€150kAkademisk Boldklub
2015-08-21€50kAkademisk Boldklub
2016-08-12€150kAkademisk Boldklub
2016-12-12€100kAkademisk Boldklub
2017-06-21€100kAkademisk Boldklub
2018-02-04€100kFC Roskilde
2018-06-07€50kFC Roskilde
2018-12-21€150kFC Roskilde
2019-06-24€100kNyköbing FC
2019-09-09€150kNyköbing FC
2019-12-22€150kNyköbing FC
2020-07-31€100kNyköbing FC
2021-08-01€100kNyköbing FC
2021-10-06€150kNyköbing FC
2021-12-28€150kNyköbing FC
2022-06-20€150kNyköbing FC
2022-12-22€150kNyköbing FC
2023-06-26€100kLyngby Boldklub
2023-12-21€100kLyngby Boldklub
2024-06-10€100kLyngby Boldklub
2024-12-09€100kLyngby Boldklub
2025-06-16€50kLyngby Boldklub
2025-12-15€50kRanders FC
2026-05-25€25kRanders FC

Audit context group-level, not about this player

Audit group
UEFA
Population gap, Model A
+0.093 95% CI +0.063 to +0.124
This player, market vs held-out A
−2.211

The group comes from first-listed citizenship and is never a model input. Across the population, non-UEFA players' market values sit about 10% above Model A's held-out estimates, relative to UEFA players in the same leagues. One player's residual says nothing about that pattern (typical miss ×1.50), and none of it is evidence of discrimination: the target may itself be biased. Open the Fairness Audit

In context observed value among comparable players in this build

All players in the Terminal →

Superliga256 players · median €800k

The joint lowest observed value among 256 Superliga players.

€20k€150k€1M€7.5M€25kSee them in the Explorer →

Goalkeepers, all leagues485 players · median €1M

The joint lowest observed value among 485 goalkeepers.

€20k€200k€2M€20M€25kSee them in the Explorer →

Where Storch appears

Watchlists and the comparison tray are kept in this browser only.

Near this valuation closest observed values: same league, then same position

Counts and ranks of observed Transfermarkt values only; model errors are never ranked here. Full player export: Every player in the modelling population (D-011).