Dmitriy
Pestryakov
RWRussia · Akron Tolyatti
Player dossierPremier Liga
DmitriyPestryakov
RWRight WingerAttack
- Club
- Akron Tolyatti
- League
- Premier Liga
- Nationality
- Russia
- Age
- 19
- Height
- 176 cm
- Foot
- Right
- Valued
- 26 May 2026
Reading the valuation
The market values Pestryakov at €3M. Model A, which never saw Pestryakov during training, estimates €3.9M: the market value is 24% below that estimate.
That is a factor of ×1.32. Model A's typical held-out miss is ×1.50 either way, so this gap is within its usual error.
Without league and club, Model B estimates €5.9M, further from the market. Model B is usually further off (typical miss ×2.07): league and club explain much of how the market prices players.
A gap describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what the player is worth.
- Apps
- 53
- Minutes
- 3,762
- Goals
- 8
- Assists
- 6
- Started
- 43/53
- Min / app
- 71
- Cards
- 3Y 0R
Club matches, two years to the valuation date
The Valuation Journey
What moves Model A
Asking the prediction API to explain Model A for Pestryakov…
SHAP describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what causes market value. Model B can be explained only by the live service; Model A also has a published explanation for the research players.
Model A vs Model B against the observed €3M
Checking APIAsking the prediction API…
Held-out estimates come from cross-validation, with this player outside the training data: the honest comparison. Served models were refitted on every player, this one included, so they sit closer to the market. Shaded band: Model A's typical miss (×1.50 either way).
Player traitspercentiles vs 1,583 attackers
Dashed ring: the attacker median (50th percentile)
Starts
Share of appearances started rather than entered from the bench.
81% this player59% attacker median84th percentile
No passing, progression or defensive actions exist in the dataset, so no trait claims to measure them.
Valuation history every Transfermarkt valuation on record
- First valuation
- €50k
- Jun 2024
- Peak
- €3M
- Dec 2025
- Model target
- €3M
- May 2026
- Valuations
- 8
- 0 club changes
May 2026: €3M, Akron Tolyatti. Dotted lines mark the €2M, €10M and €30M tier boundaries.
Show as a table
| Date | Market value | Club |
|---|---|---|
| 2024-06-14 | €50k | Akron Tolyatti |
| 2024-09-18 | €200k | Akron Tolyatti |
| 2024-12-12 | €250k | Akron Tolyatti |
| 2025-03-19 | €400k | Akron Tolyatti |
| 2025-06-04 | €900k | Akron Tolyatti |
| 2025-09-18 | €1.5M | Akron Tolyatti |
| 2025-12-16 | €3M | Akron Tolyatti |
| 2026-05-26 | €3M | Akron Tolyatti |
Audit context group-level, not about this player
- Audit group
- UEFA
- Population gap, Model A
- +0.093 95% CI +0.063 to +0.124
- This player, market vs held-out A
- −0.274
The group comes from first-listed citizenship and is never a model input. Across the population, non-UEFA players' market values sit about 10% above Model A's held-out estimates, relative to UEFA players in the same leagues. One player's residual says nothing about that pattern (typical miss ×1.50), and none of it is evidence of discrimination: the target may itself be biased. Open the Fairness Audit
In context observed value among comparable players in this build
All players in the Terminal →Premier Liga412 players · median €1M
Valued above 77% of the 412 Premier Liga players.
See them in the Explorer →Attackers, all leagues1,583 players · median €2.5M
Valued above 52% of the 1,583 attackers.
See them in the Explorer →Where Pestryakov appears
Watchlists and the comparison tray are kept in this browser only.
Near this valuation closest observed values: same league, then same position
- KuzyaevCMRubin Kazan · Premier Liga€3M
- BongondaRWSpartak Moscow · Premier Liga€3M
- OsipenkoCBDynamo Moscow · Premier Liga€3M
- KomlichenkoCFLokomotiv Moscow · Premier Liga€3M
- WelbeckCFBrighton & Hove Albion · attackers€3M
- SterlingRWFeyenoord Rotterdam · attackers€3M
- BrumaLWSL Benfica · attackers€3M
- SilvaCFElche CF · attackers€3M
Counts and ranks of observed Transfermarkt values only; model errors are never ranked here. Full player export: Every player in the modelling population (D-011).