FairValue

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Leandro

Cabrera

CBUruguay · RCD Espanyol Barcelona

№ 102423Emerging €1.4M −0.47

Player dossierLaLiga

LeandroCabrera

CBCentre-BackDefender

Club
RCD Espanyol Barcelona
League
LaLiga
Nationality
Uruguay
Age
34
Height
190 cm
Foot
Left
Valued
5 Jun 2026

Reading the valuation

The market values Cabrera at €900k. Model A, which never saw Cabrera during training, estimates €1.4M: the market value is 38% below that estimate.

That is a factor of ×1.60. Model A's typical held-out miss is ×1.50 either way, so this gap is larger than its usual error.

Without league and club, Model B estimates €1.3M, closer to the market here, although it is usually further off (typical miss ×2.07).

A gap describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what the player is worth.

▼ −0.47A €1.4M▼ −0.34B €1.3M
Pitch length is a log value scale fitted to this player's figures. ● observed · ◇ Model A · dashed ◇ Model B · each arc is a residual, log(observed) − log(estimate).
Apps
70
Minutes
6,200
Goals
7
Assists
2
Started
69/70
Min / app
89
Cards
8Y 1R

Club matches, two years to the valuation date

The Valuation Journey

What moves Model A

Asking the prediction API to explain Model A for Cabrera…

SHAP describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what causes market value. Model B can be explained only by the live service; Model A also has a published explanation for the research players.

Model A vs Model B against the observed €900k

Checking API
EmergingEstablishedEliteWorld Class€2M€10M€30M€100k€1M€100MMarket €900kModel A €1.4M

Asking the prediction API…

Held-out estimates come from cross-validation, with this player outside the training data: the honest comparison. Served models were refitted on every player, this one included, so they sit closer to the market. Shaded band: Model A's typical miss (×1.50 either way).

Player traitspercentiles vs 2,065 defenders

Leandro Cabrera's percentiles among defenders: Goals per 90 87th, Assists per 90 43rd, Minutes, two years 94th, Starts 94th, Minutes, last 365 days 94th, European club minutes 30th87thGoals43rdAssists94thMinutes94thStarts94thRecent30thEurope

Dashed ring: the defender median (50th percentile)

Minutes, last 365 days

Club minutes in the final year of the window: recent involvement, or the absence of it.

3,330 this player1,687 defender median94th percentile

0peer deciles · median line · this player ●4,941

No passing, progression or defensive actions exist in the dataset, so no trait claims to measure them.

Valuation history every Transfermarkt valuation on record

First valuation
€1M
Jul 2009
Peak
€10M
Dec 2019
Model target
€900k
Jun 2026
Valuations
41
11 club changes
Jun 2026€900kRCD Espanyol BarcelonaValuation the model is trained to reproduce

Jun 2026: €900k, RCD Espanyol Barcelona. Dotted lines mark the €2M, €10M and €30M tier boundaries.

Show as a table
DateMarket valueClub
2009-07-22€1MAtlético de Madrid
2009-12-03€1MAtlético de Madrid
2010-04-12€1MAtlético de Madrid
2010-08-15€800kRecreativo Huelva
2011-07-29€600kAtlético de Madrid
2011-09-07€500kCD Numancia
2012-04-01€600kCD Numancia
2012-08-01€1MAtlético de Madrid
2012-09-25€800kHércules CF
2013-05-12€1.5MHércules CF
2013-07-25€1.5MAtlético de Madrid
2013-10-08€800kReal Madrid Castilla
2014-02-06€800kReal Madrid Castilla
2014-08-13€1MReal Zaragoza
2015-01-08€1MReal Zaragoza
2015-07-01€1MReal Zaragoza
2016-02-22€1MReal Zaragoza
2016-07-15€1MReal Zaragoza
2017-01-24€800kReal Zaragoza
2017-06-29€800kReal Zaragoza
2017-12-29€600kFC Crotone
2018-05-30€600kGetafe CF
2018-12-21€2MGetafe CF
2019-06-11€5MGetafe CF
2019-12-20€10MGetafe CF
2020-04-08€8MRCD Espanyol Barcelona
2020-10-08€5MRCD Espanyol Barcelona
2021-01-08€5MRCD Espanyol Barcelona
2021-03-19€3.5MRCD Espanyol Barcelona
2021-06-24€3MRCD Espanyol Barcelona
2021-12-30€3.5MRCD Espanyol Barcelona
2022-06-03€4MRCD Espanyol Barcelona
2022-11-07€3.5MRCD Espanyol Barcelona
2023-06-13€2.5MRCD Espanyol Barcelona
2023-12-20€2MRCD Espanyol Barcelona
2024-03-26€1.5MRCD Espanyol Barcelona
2024-06-24€1.2MRCD Espanyol Barcelona
2024-12-27€1MRCD Espanyol Barcelona
2025-06-09€1MRCD Espanyol Barcelona
2025-12-12€1MRCD Espanyol Barcelona
2026-06-05€900kRCD Espanyol Barcelona

Audit context group-level, not about this player

Audit group
non-UEFA
Population gap, Model A
+0.093 95% CI +0.063 to +0.124
This player, market vs held-out A
−0.470

The group comes from first-listed citizenship and is never a model input. Across the population, non-UEFA players' market values sit about 10% above Model A's held-out estimates, relative to UEFA players in the same leagues. One player's residual says nothing about that pattern (typical miss ×1.50), and none of it is evidence of discrimination: the target may itself be biased. Open the Fairness Audit

In context observed value among comparable players in this build

All players in the Terminal →

LaLiga509 players · median €4M

Valued above 7% of the 509 LaLiga players.

€100k€1M€10M€100M€900kSee them in the Explorer →

Defenders, all leagues2,065 players · median €2M

Valued above 33% of the 2,065 defenders.

€20k€200k€2M€20M€900kSee them in the Explorer →

Where Cabrera appears

Watchlists and the comparison tray are kept in this browser only.

Near this valuation closest observed values: same league, then same position

Counts and ranks of observed Transfermarkt values only; model errors are never ranked here. Full player export: Every player in the modelling population (D-011).