Rayan
RWBrazil · AFC Bournemouth
Player dossierPremier League
Rayan
RWRight WingerAttack
- Club
- AFC Bournemouth
- League
- Premier League
- Nationality
- Brazil
- Age
- 19
- Height
- 187 cm
- Foot
- Left
- Valued
- 3 Jun 2026
Premier LeagueReading the valuation
The market values Rayan at €60M. Model A, which never saw Rayan during training, estimates €20.2M: the market value is 197% above that estimate.
That is a factor of ×2.97. Model A's typical held-out miss is ×1.50 either way, so this gap is larger than its usual error.
Without league and club, Model B estimates €2.4M, further from the market. Model B is usually further off (typical miss ×2.07): league and club explain much of how the market prices players.
A gap describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what the player is worth.
- Apps
- 15
- Minutes
- 1,120
- Goals
- 5
- Assists
- 2
- Started
- 13/15
- Min / app
- 75
- Cards
- 1Y 0R
Club matches, two years to the valuation date
The Valuation Journey
What moves Model A
Asking the prediction API to explain Model A for Rayan…
SHAP describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what causes market value. Model B can be explained only by the live service; Model A also has a published explanation for the research players.
Model A vs Model B against the observed €60M
Checking APIAsking the prediction API…
Held-out estimates come from cross-validation, with this player outside the training data: the honest comparison. Served models were refitted on every player, this one included, so they sit closer to the market. Shaded band: Model A's typical miss (×1.50 either way).
Player traitspercentiles vs 1,583 attackers
Dashed ring: the attacker median (50th percentile)
Starts
Share of appearances started rather than entered from the bench.
87% this player59% attacker median90th percentile
No passing, progression or defensive actions exist in the dataset, so no trait claims to measure them.
Valuation history every Transfermarkt valuation on record
- First valuation
- €1.5M
- Jul 2023
- Peak
- €60M
- Jun 2026
- Model target
- €60M
- Jun 2026
- Valuations
- 12
- 1 club change
Jun 2026: €60M, AFC Bournemouth. Dotted lines mark the €2M, €10M and €30M tier boundaries.
Show as a table
| Date | Market value | Club |
|---|---|---|
| 2023-07-25 | €1.5M | Clube de Regatas Vasco da Gama |
| 2023-12-11 | €4M | Clube de Regatas Vasco da Gama |
| 2024-03-28 | €4M | Clube de Regatas Vasco da Gama |
| 2024-06-17 | €6M | Clube de Regatas Vasco da Gama |
| 2024-09-27 | €7M | Clube de Regatas Vasco da Gama |
| 2024-12-09 | €10M | Clube de Regatas Vasco da Gama |
| 2025-03-28 | €13M | Clube de Regatas Vasco da Gama |
| 2025-06-06 | €14M | Clube de Regatas Vasco da Gama |
| 2025-09-05 | €18M | Clube de Regatas Vasco da Gama |
| 2025-12-10 | €25M | Clube de Regatas Vasco da Gama |
| 2026-03-09 | €40M | AFC Bournemouth |
| 2026-06-03 | €60M | AFC Bournemouth |
Audit context group-level, not about this player
- Audit group
- non-UEFA
- Population gap, Model A
- +0.093 95% CI +0.063 to +0.124
- This player, market vs held-out A
- +1.089
The group comes from first-listed citizenship and is never a model input. Across the population, non-UEFA players' market values sit about 10% above Model A's held-out estimates, relative to UEFA players in the same leagues. One player's residual says nothing about that pattern (typical miss ×1.50), and none of it is evidence of discrimination: the target may itself be biased. Open the Fairness Audit
In context observed value among comparable players in this build
All players in the Terminal →Premier League555 players · median €18M
Valued above 92% of the 555 Premier League players.
See them in the Explorer →Attackers, all leagues1,583 players · median €2.5M
Valued above 98% of the 1,583 attackers.
See them in the Explorer →Where Rayan appears
Watchlists and the comparison tray are kept in this browser only.
Near this valuation closest observed values: same league, then same position
- GakpoLWLiverpool FC · Premier League€60M
- JamesRBChelsea FC · Premier League€60M
- NetoRWChelsea FC · Premier League€60M
- ØdegaardAMArsenal FC · Premier League€65M
- KaneCFBayern Munich · attackers€60M
- HøjlundCFSSC Napoli · attackers€60M
- GyökeresCFArsenal FC · attackers€65M
- GordonLWNewcastle United · attackers€65M
Counts and ranks of observed Transfermarkt values only; model errors are never ranked here. Full player export: Every player in the modelling population (D-011).