Mathis
Amougou
CMFrance · RC Strasbourg Alsace
Image: FootyLogos
Player dossierLigue 1
MathisAmougou
CMCentral MidfieldMidfield
- Club
- RC Strasbourg Alsace
- League
- Ligue 1
- Nationality
- France
- Age
- 20
- Height
- 177 cm
- Foot
- Right
- Valued
- 1 Jun 2026
Reading the valuation
The market values Amougou at €9M. Model A, which never saw Amougou during training, estimates €3.7M: the market value is 144% above that estimate.
That is a factor of ×2.44. Model A's typical held-out miss is ×1.50 either way, so this gap is larger than its usual error.
Without league and club, Model B estimates €1.4M, further from the market. Model B is usually further off (typical miss ×2.07): league and club explain much of how the market prices players.
A gap describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what the player is worth.
- Apps
- 30
- Minutes
- 1,270
- Goals
- 0
- Assists
- 0
- Started
- 13/30
- Min / app
- 42
- Cards
- 3Y 0R
Club matches, two years to the valuation date
The Valuation Journey
What moves Model A
Asking the prediction API to explain Model A for Amougou…
SHAP describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what causes market value. Model B can be explained only by the live service; Model A also has a published explanation for the research players.
Model A vs Model B against the observed €9M
Checking APIAsking the prediction API…
Held-out estimates come from cross-validation, with this player outside the training data: the honest comparison. Served models were refitted on every player, this one included, so they sit closer to the market. Shaded band: Model A's typical miss (×1.50 either way).
Player traitspercentiles vs 1,687 midfielders
Dashed ring: the midfielder median (50th percentile)
European club minutes
Share of minutes played in UEFA club competitions.
0% this player0% midfielder median30th percentile
No passing, progression or defensive actions exist in the dataset, so no trait claims to measure them.
Valuation history every Transfermarkt valuation on record
- First valuation
- €300k
- Dec 2023
- Peak
- €10M
- Mar 2025
- Model target
- €9M
- Jun 2026
- Valuations
- 8
- 3 club changes
Jun 2026: €9M, RC Strasbourg Alsace. Dotted lines mark the €2M, €10M and €30M tier boundaries.
Show as a table
| Date | Market value | Club |
|---|---|---|
| 2023-12-13 | €300k | AS Saint-Étienne B |
| 2024-06-11 | €300k | AS Saint-Étienne B |
| 2024-10-07 | €6M | AS Saint-Étienne |
| 2024-12-10 | €5M | AS Saint-Étienne |
| 2025-03-18 | €10M | Chelsea FC |
| 2025-05-30 | €10M | Chelsea FC |
| 2025-12-15 | €10M | RC Strasbourg Alsace |
| 2026-06-01 | €9M | RC Strasbourg Alsace |
Audit context group-level, not about this player
- Audit group
- UEFA
- Population gap, Model A
- +0.093 95% CI +0.063 to +0.124
- This player, market vs held-out A
- +0.894
The group comes from first-listed citizenship and is never a model input. Across the population, non-UEFA players' market values sit about 10% above Model A's held-out estimates, relative to UEFA players in the same leagues. One player's residual says nothing about that pattern (typical miss ×1.50), and none of it is evidence of discrimination: the target may itself be biased. Open the Fairness Audit
In context observed value among comparable players in this build
All players in the Terminal →Ligue 1423 players · median €5M
Valued above 63% of the 423 Ligue 1 players.
See them in the Explorer →Midfielders, all leagues1,687 players · median €2M
Valued above 77% of the 1,687 midfielders.
See them in the Explorer →Where Amougou appears
- TerminalLigue 1 in the Player Explorer
- TerminalLigue 1 on the League Landscape
Watchlists and the comparison tray are kept in this browser only.
Near this valuation closest observed values: same league, then same position
- EmersonLBOlympique Marseille · Ligue 1€9M
- MangalaDMOlympique Lyon · Ligue 1€9M
- GreifGKOlympique Lyon · Ligue 1€9M
- Cristian Cásseres Jr.CMFC Toulouse · Ligue 1€9M
- MandragoraDMACF Fiorentina · midfielders€9M
- PrassLMTSG 1899 Hoffenheim · midfielders€9M
- BrescianiniCMACF Fiorentina · midfielders€9M
- MaldiniAMSS Lazio · midfielders€9M
Counts and ranks of observed Transfermarkt values only; model errors are never ranked here. Full player export: Every player in the modelling population (D-011).