FairValue

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Lorenzo

Scipioni

DMArgentina · Olympiacos Piraeus

№ 1010577Established €3M +0.15

Player dossierSuper League

LorenzoScipioni

DMDefensive MidfieldMidfield

Club
Olympiacos Piraeus
League
Super League
Nationality
Argentina
Age
21
Height
182 cm
Foot
Right
Valued
4 Jun 2026

Reading the valuation

The market values Scipioni at €3.5M. Model A, which never saw Scipioni during training, estimates €3M: the market value is 16% above that estimate.

That is a factor of ×1.16. Model A's typical held-out miss is ×1.50 either way, so this gap is within its usual error.

Without league and club, Model B estimates €1.1M, further from the market. Model B is usually further off (typical miss ×2.07): league and club explain much of how the market prices players.

A gap describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what the player is worth.

▲ +0.15A €3M▲ +1.11B €1.1M
Pitch length is a log value scale fitted to this player's figures. ● observed · ◇ Model A · dashed ◇ Model B · each arc is a residual, log(observed) − log(estimate).
Apps
24
Minutes
1,004
Goals
0
Assists
0
Started
11/24
Min / app
42
Cards
4Y 0R

Club matches, two years to the valuation date

The Valuation Journey

What moves Model A

Asking the prediction API to explain Model A for Scipioni…

SHAP describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what causes market value. Model B can be explained only by the live service; Model A also has a published explanation for the research players.

Model A vs Model B against the observed €3.5M

Checking API
EmergingEstablishedEliteWorld Class€2M€10M€30M€100k€1M€100MMarket €3.5MModel A €3M

Asking the prediction API…

Held-out estimates come from cross-validation, with this player outside the training data: the honest comparison. Served models were refitted on every player, this one included, so they sit closer to the market. Shaded band: Model A's typical miss (×1.50 either way).

Player traitspercentiles vs 1,687 midfielders

Lorenzo Scipioni's percentiles among midfielders: Goals per 90 10th, Assists per 90 8th, Minutes, two years 13th, Starts 16th, Minutes, last 365 days 31st, European club minutes 67th10thGoals8thAssists13thMinutes16thStarts31stRecent67thEurope

Dashed ring: the midfielder median (50th percentile)

European club minutes

Share of minutes played in UEFA club competitions.

7% this player0% midfielder median67th percentile

0%peer deciles · median line · this player ●85%

No passing, progression or defensive actions exist in the dataset, so no trait claims to measure them.

Valuation history every Transfermarkt valuation on record

First valuation
€25k
Sept 2022
Peak
€3.5M
Jun 2025
Model target
€3.5M
Jun 2026
Valuations
7
2 club changes
Jun 2026€3.5MOlympiacos PiraeusValuation the model is trained to reproduce

Jun 2026: €3.5M, Olympiacos Piraeus. Dotted lines mark the €2M, €10M and €30M tier boundaries.

Show as a table
DateMarket valueClub
2022-09-06€25kCA Tigre II
2022-10-26€25kCA Tigre II
2024-12-13€50kClub Atlético Tigre
2025-04-02€2MClub Atlético Tigre
2025-06-02€3.5MClub Atlético Tigre
2025-12-12€3.5MOlympiacos Piraeus
2026-06-04€3.5MOlympiacos Piraeus

Audit context group-level, not about this player

Audit group
non-UEFA
Population gap, Model A
+0.093 95% CI +0.063 to +0.124
This player, market vs held-out A
+0.148

The group comes from first-listed citizenship and is never a model input. Across the population, non-UEFA players' market values sit about 10% above Model A's held-out estimates, relative to UEFA players in the same leagues. One player's residual says nothing about that pattern (typical miss ×1.50), and none of it is evidence of discrimination: the target may itself be biased. Open the Fairness Audit

In context observed value among comparable players in this build

All players in the Terminal →

Super League356 players · median €600k

Valued above 88% of the 356 Super League players.

€20k€150k€1M€7.5M€3.5MSee them in the Explorer →

Midfielders, all leagues1,687 players · median €2M

Valued above 59% of the 1,687 midfielders.

€20k€200k€2M€20M€3.5MSee them in the Explorer →

Where Scipioni appears

Watchlists and the comparison tray are kept in this browser only.

Near this valuation closest observed values: same league, then same position

Counts and ranks of observed Transfermarkt values only; model errors are never ranked here. Full player export: Every player in the modelling population (D-011).