FairValue

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Portrait of Thomas Meunier

Thomas

Meunier

RBBelgium · LOSC Lille

№ 100986Emerging €1.9M −0.25

Image: FootyLogos

Player dossierLigue 1

ThomasMeunier

RBRight-BackDefender

Club
LOSC Lille
League
Ligue 1
Nationality
Belgium
Age
34
Height
190 cm
Foot
Right
Valued
1 Jun 2026

Reading the valuation

The market values Meunier at €1.5M. Model A, which never saw Meunier during training, estimates €1.9M: the market value is 22% below that estimate.

That is a factor of ×1.29. Model A's typical held-out miss is ×1.50 either way, so this gap is within its usual error.

Without league and club, Model B estimates €1.8M, closer to the market here, although it is usually further off (typical miss ×2.07).

A gap describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what the player is worth.

▼ −0.25A €1.9M▼ −0.21B €1.8M
Pitch length is a log value scale fitted to this player's figures. ● observed · ◇ Model A · dashed ◇ Model B · each arc is a residual, log(observed) − log(estimate).
Apps
76
Minutes
5,308
Goals
4
Assists
4
Started
58/76
Min / app
70
Cards
12Y 0R

Club matches, two years to the valuation date

The Valuation Journey

What moves Model A

Asking the prediction API to explain Model A for Meunier…

SHAP describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what causes market value. Model B can be explained only by the live service; Model A also has a published explanation for the research players.

Model A vs Model B against the observed €1.5M

Checking API
EmergingEstablishedEliteWorld Class€2M€10M€30M€100k€1M€100MMarket €1.5MModel A €1.9M

Asking the prediction API…

Held-out estimates come from cross-validation, with this player outside the training data: the honest comparison. Served models were refitted on every player, this one included, so they sit closer to the market. Shaded band: Model A's typical miss (×1.50 either way).

Player traitspercentiles vs 2,065 defenders

Thomas Meunier's percentiles among defenders: Goals per 90 74th, Assists per 90 66th, Minutes, two years 87th, Starts 38th, Minutes, last 365 days 73rd, European club minutes 93rd74thGoals66thAssists87thMinutes38thStarts73rdRecent93rdEurope

Dashed ring: the defender median (50th percentile)

European club minutes

Share of minutes played in UEFA club competitions.

28% this player0% defender median93rd percentile

0%peer deciles · median line · this player ●85%

No passing, progression or defensive actions exist in the dataset, so no trait claims to measure them.

Valuation history every Transfermarkt valuation on record

First valuation
€300k
Jan 2011
Peak
€35M
Dec 2018
Model target
€1.5M
Jun 2026
Valuations
40
5 club changes
Jun 2026€1.5MLOSC LilleValuation the model is trained to reproduce

Jun 2026: €1.5M, LOSC Lille. Dotted lines mark the €2M, €10M and €30M tier boundaries.

Show as a table
DateMarket valueClub
2011-01-25€300kRoyal Excelsior Virton
2011-08-12€700kClub Brugge KV
2012-01-05€1.5MClub Brugge KV
2012-10-16€2MClub Brugge KV
2013-06-25€2.2MClub Brugge KV
2014-02-10€3.5MClub Brugge KV
2014-06-28€3.5MClub Brugge KV
2015-01-07€3.5MClub Brugge KV
2015-03-24€4.5MClub Brugge KV
2015-06-24€6MClub Brugge KV
2015-10-22€7MClub Brugge KV
2016-02-07€7MClub Brugge KV
2016-04-14€6MClub Brugge KV
2016-06-01€6MClub Brugge KV
2016-07-13€6MParis Saint-Germain
2017-01-16€7.5MParis Saint-Germain
2017-06-01€9MParis Saint-Germain
2018-01-24€15MParis Saint-Germain
2018-06-04€15MParis Saint-Germain
2018-10-24€25MParis Saint-Germain
2018-12-17€35MParis Saint-Germain
2019-06-03€30MParis Saint-Germain
2019-12-19€30MParis Saint-Germain
2020-04-08€24MParis Saint-Germain
2020-11-26€18MBorussia Dortmund
2021-02-10€18MBorussia Dortmund
2021-03-31€12MBorussia Dortmund
2021-05-26€12MBorussia Dortmund
2021-12-22€9MBorussia Dortmund
2022-06-09€6.5MBorussia Dortmund
2022-11-09€6.5MBorussia Dortmund
2023-06-22€5MBorussia Dortmund
2023-10-18€3MBorussia Dortmund
2023-12-14€2.5MBorussia Dortmund
2024-03-15€2.5MTrabzonspor
2024-05-31€2.5MTrabzonspor
2024-12-10€2MLOSC Lille
2025-06-03€2MLOSC Lille
2025-12-15€1.8MLOSC Lille
2026-06-01€1.5MLOSC Lille

Audit context group-level, not about this player

Audit group
UEFA
Population gap, Model A
+0.093 95% CI +0.063 to +0.124
This player, market vs held-out A
−0.253

The group comes from first-listed citizenship and is never a model input. Across the population, non-UEFA players' market values sit about 10% above Model A's held-out estimates, relative to UEFA players in the same leagues. One player's residual says nothing about that pattern (typical miss ×1.50), and none of it is evidence of discrimination: the target may itself be biased. Open the Fairness Audit

In context observed value among comparable players in this build

All players in the Terminal →

Ligue 1423 players · median €5M

Valued above 13% of the 423 Ligue 1 players.

€100k€750k€5M€30M€1.5MSee them in the Explorer →

Defenders, all leagues2,065 players · median €2M

Valued above 43% of the 2,065 defenders.

€20k€200k€2M€20M€1.5MSee them in the Explorer →

Where Meunier appears

Watchlists and the comparison tray are kept in this browser only.

Near this valuation closest observed values: same league, then same position

Counts and ranks of observed Transfermarkt values only; model errors are never ranked here. Full player export: Every player in the modelling population (D-011).